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Današnji kurs dinara prema evru 117,6470
"Srednji kurs dinara prema evru iznosi danas 117,6470 dinara za evro, što je neznatna promena u odnosu na četvrtak", objavila je Narodna banka Srbije.
Dinar je prema evru slabiji za 0,1 posto na mesečnom i godišnjem nivou, kao u odnosu na početak ove godine.

Indikativni kurs dinara prema dolaru je pao u četvrtak za 0,4 posto na 106,7771 dinara za dolar.


U januaru zabeležen rast BDP-a veći od 4%, ove godine mogao bi biti 4,5%?
Republički Savet Srbije za koordinaciju aktivnosti mera za rast bruto domaćeg proizvoda (BDP) saopštio je da je u januaru zabeležen rast BDP-a veći od 4% i procenio da bi rast BDP ove godine mogao biti 4,5%.

Saopšteno je da je na sednici kojom je predsedavala premijerka Ana Brnabić, konstantovano da lanac snabdevanja u Srbiji funkcioniše redovno i da se u poslednja dva dana, u odnosu na protekli vikend, beleži smanjenje tražnje za osnovnim životnim namirnicama u proseku za 20%.

Procenjeno je da pšenice, brašna i kukuruza ima dovoljno za domaće potrebe, da je snabdevenost tržišta jestivim uljem stabilna, i da fabrike imaju dovoljne količine ulja i za sada se ne očekuju nikakvi značajniji poremećaji.

Snabdevanje svim vrstama derivata nafte je redovno i stabilno, a na benzinskim stanicama ima svih vrsta motornih goriva i prodaja se odvija nesmetano.

Stabilno je i tržište gasa, kao i snabdevanje električnom energijom, navodi se u saopštenju.

Na sednici je ukazano na to da je situacija u Ukrajini dovela do otežanog poslovanja određenih kompanija, uz posledice koje se osećaju u svim sektorima privrede, i da treba voditi računa o domaćim proizvođačima koji imaju unapred potpisane ugovore koje treba da izvrše.


Government Once Again Limits Fuel Prices and Reduces Excise Duties
At yesterdays session, the government of the Republic of Serbia adopted the Decree on limiting the prices of petroleum products, which refers to petroleum products Euro diesel and Euro premium BMB 95, and which will be valid for the next 30 days – until April 11.

The decision was made in order to prevent major disturbances and preserve the living standard of the population, given that in the previous period there was an increase in the prices of petroleum products.

The Decree determines the maximum retail price and obliges economic entities that trade in motor and other fuels at stations for the supply of vehicles, and which until the adoption of the Decree delivered petroleum products, to continue with the delivery exclusively by pouring into the fuel tanks.

Also, the conditions and manner of selling petroleum products to registered agricultural holdings are envisaged.

A decision was made to temporarily reduce excise duties by 20% of the current amount on oil derivatives – leaded gasoline, unleaded gasoline and gas oils.

At the session, an amended decision was made on the conditions and manner for reducing customs duties on certain goods, i.e., for exempting certain goods for payment of customs duties in 2022.

The decision regarding oil and oils obtained from bituminous minerals will be valid until December 31, 2022.

The government decided to temporarily ban the export of basic agricultural food products important to the population – wheat grain, wheat flour, corn and groats and sunflower oil, in order to respond in a timely manner to market disturbances and growing demand, both worldwide and in the country, as announced on the website of the Government of Serbia.


Vlada ponovo ograničila cene goriva i smanjila akcize
Vlada Srbije usvojila je na današnjoj sednici Uredbu o ograničenju cena naftnih derivata koja se odnosi na naftne derivate Evro dizel i Evro premijum BMB 95, a koja će od stupanja na snagu 11. marta važiti narednih 30 dana – do 11. aprila.

Odluka je doneta u cilju sprečavanja većih poremećaja i očuvanja životnog standarda stanovništva, s obzirom na to da se u prethodnom periodu beleži rast cena naftnih derivata.

Uredbom se utvrđuje maksimalna maloprodajna cena i obavezuju privredni subjekti koji obavljaju delatnost trgovine motornim i drugim gorivima na stanicama za snabdevanje prevoznih sredstava, a koji su do donošenja uredbe isporučivali derivate, da nastave sa isporukom isključivo utakanjem u pogonske rezervoare prevoznih sredstava.

Takođe, predviđeni su i uslovi i način prodaje naftnih derivata registrovanim poljoprivrednim gazdinstvima.

Doneta je i odluka o privremenom smanjenju akciza za 20% od sadašnjeg iznosa na derivate nafte – olovni benzin, bezolovni benzin i gasna ulja.

Na sednici je doneta dopunjena odluka o uslovima i načinu za smanjenje carinskih dažbina na određenu robu, odnosno za izuzimanje određene robe za plaćanje carinskih dažbina u 2022. godini.

Odluka koja se odnosi na naftu i ulja dobijena od bitumenoznih minerala važiće do 31. decembra 2022. godine.

Vlada je donela i odluku o privremenoj zabrani izvoza osnovnih poljoprivrednih prehrambenih proizvoda bitnih za stanovništvo – zrna pšenice, pšeničnog brašna, kukuruza i prekrupe i suncokretovog ulja, kako bi se pravovremeno reagovalo na tržišne poremećaje i rast tražnje, kako na svetskom, tako i na domaćem tržištu, preneo je sajt Vlade Srbije.


NBS keeps key policy rate at 1 pct
The National Bank of Serbia (NBS) Executive Board has decided to keep the key policy rate unchanged at 1.0 pct.
BELGRADE - The National Bank of Serbia (NBS) Executive Board has decided to keep the key policy rate unchanged at 1.0 pct.

At Thursdays session, the board also decided to "continue tightening monetary conditions, using the flexibility of the monetary policy framework, by raising the weighted average repo rate in reverse repo auctions, as well as the percentage of excess dinar liquidity withdrawn in those auctions," the NBS said in a statement.

"In the last repo auction held this month, the weighted average repo rate amounted to 0.90 pct, which is close to the key policy rate and by 79 bp higher than in early October 2021 when the process of monetary tightening began.

The decision to increase the average repo rate over the past few months was motivated by the heightened cost-push pressures in the international and local environment and the need to influence inflation expectations of market agents and contain the second-round effects on the prices of other products and services," it said.

"In its monetary policy decision-making, the Executive Board had in mind that developments in the international environment call for special caution.

Uncertainty that plagued the international commodity and financial markets in recent months due to the emergence of new coronavirus strains was additionally fuelled by geopolitical tensions and the crisis in Ukraine.

This has pushed the prices of energy and global primary agricultural commodities and metals close to or even above their historical highs.

The outlook for global economic growth is therefore increasingly uncertain, while an additional rise in the prices of energy, food and raw materials heightens the risk that inflationary pressures could turn out to be stronger than anticipated and present over a longer time period.

In such circumstances, it remains uncertain at what pace the leading central banks, the Fed and the ECB, will normalise their monetary policies, or what the effects of heightened uncertainty on financial conditions globally and on capital flows to emerging markets, Serbia included, will be," the central bank said.

"As for developments in the domestic macroeconomic environment, the Executive Board states that the available monthly indicators suggest that economic activity in the beginning of the year is broadly in line with the NBS’s expectations.

Growth continues to be led by services, construction and mining, while lower activity in the overall industry still mostly reflects the weaker production in the energy sector, and partly also lower manufacturing output due to persistent disruptions to global supply chains.

The NBS retains its real GDP growth projection in the range of 4-5 pct for this year and in the medium term, despite the fact that in the near term downside risks are more pronounced due to the Ukraine crisis, primarily on account of the possibly slower growth of our key trade partners, though the magnitude of the effects will depend the most on how long the crisis lasts.

The Board judges that going forward economic growth will be led by the continued investment cycle and the implementation of large-scale infrastructure projects, as well as by a sound personal consumption growth supported by favourable trends in the labour market.

The Executive Board has concluded that y-o-y inflation, which measured 8.2 pct in January, also moved in line with the NBS’s expectations and remained mainly guided by rising food and energy prices.

At the same time, core inflation, which is influenced the most by monetary policy measures, equalled 4.1 pct y-o-y and was well below headline inflation, thanks to the preserved relative stability of the exchange rate even during the pandemic.

Under the latest, February medium-term projection, inflation should start declining from March onwards and continue to slow towards the target midpoint until the end of the projection horizon.

Though current developments concerning global prices of energy and primary commodities indicate that inflation could be somewhat higher than projected, the Executive Board still holds that it will be on a declining path until the end of the year.

A key contribution to this will come from the relative stability of the exchange rate which the NBS will continue to maintain going forward and which is guaranteed by foreign exchange reserves accumulated over the past years thanks to the achieved macroeconomic stability and measured and timely interventions in the FX market.

The start of the new agricultural season and the resulting lower costs in food production are expected to have a downward effect on inflation, as are the measures of the Serbian government capping the increase in fuel prices and enabling corporates to buy electricity in H1 2022 on terms much more favourable than market terms," the NBS also said.


Dinar-to-euro exchange rate at RSD 117.6470
The Serbian dinars official median exchange rate against the euro is 117.6470 dinars for one euro on Friday, which is a slight change from Thursday, the National Bank of Serbia said.
BELGRADE - The Serbian dinars official median exchange rate against the euro is 117.6470 dinars for one euro on Friday, which is a slight change from Thursday, the National Bank of Serbia said.

The dinar is down by 0.1 pct against the euro m-o-m, y-o-y and relative to the beginning of the year.

The dinars indicative exchange rate against the dollar fell by 0.4 pct to 106.7771 dinars for one dollar on Thursday.

The dinar was down by 3.3 pct against the dollar m-o-m and by 7.6 pct y-o-y, declining by 2.7 pct relative to the beginning of the year.


EBRD: Ostajemo pri tome da će privredni rast u Srbiji biti 4,3 odsto
"Evropska banka za obnovu i razvoj (EBRD) u izveštaju iz novembra projektovala je da će Srbija u 2022. ostvariti privredni rast od 4,3 odsto, ali u ovom trenutku sumnjamo da će biti veća zbog rizika na globalnoj političkoj i ekonomskoj sceni", izjavio je danas zamenik direktora EBRD-a za ekonomiju, politiku i upravljanje Piter Senfi.
Govoreći u Beogradu na predstavljanju izveštaja Evropske banke za obnovu i razvoj (EBRD) o tranziciji za 2021-2022. godinu, Senfi je najavio da će EBRD uskoro doneti novi izveštaj sa prognozama o privrednom rastu Srbije i drugih zemalja u regionu.

Istakao je da su i Srbija i ostale zemlje regiona tokom poslednje dve godine pokazale da su njihove ekonomije otporne na pandemiju izazvanu korona virusom.


Međugodišnja inflacija u Srbiji u februaru 8,8%, mesečna 1,1%
U Srbiji je u februaru međugodišnja inflacija iznosila 8,8%, a mesečna 1,1%, saopštio je danas Republički zavod za statistiku.

Cene proizvoda i usluga lične potrošnje, kojima se meri inflacija, u februaru su u proseku bile veće 1,9 odsto nego na kraju 2021. godine. U februaru su, u odnosu na prethodni mesec, poskupeli alkoholna pića i duvan (2,6%), hrana i bezalkoholna pića (dva odsto), transport (1,6%), usluge zdravstva (1,2%), usluge restorana i hotela (0,6%), oprema za stan i tekuće održavanje (0,4%) i stanovanje, voda, električna energija, gas i ostala goriva (0,2%).

Pojeftinili su odeća i obuća (1,2%).


NBS Reduces Earnings for Exchange Offices – Euro Mustnt Be More Expensive Than RSD 120.31
The National Bank of Serbia (NBS) has abolished for exchange offices the unlimited fee on the sale exchange rate of the euro and other foreign currencies, reports N1. According to the new decision, which applies from today, exchange offices will be able to calculate 1% at the most on the euro sale exchange rate, which means that, on Friday, the euro mustn’t be more expensive than RSD 120.31 at any exchange office in Serbia.

– An exchange office can charge a fee for its service. In buying or selling cash, the public postal operator and authorized exchange office may charge a fee of 1% at the most from natural persons – says the amended Decision on the conditions and manner of carrying out exchange office activities, which was published in the Official Gazette on Thursday afternoon, to be implemented a day later.

Up till now, exchange offices could calculate a fee of 1% in purchasing foreign exchange from citizens, whereas the fee in selling euros or other foreign currencies was not limited.

The official middle exchange rate of the NBS on March 11 amounts to RSD 117.6470, and when 1.25%, the maximum sale exchange rate, is added to it and then also a 1% fee, one euro can cost citizens no more than RSD 120.31 at exchange offices.

Counterwise – when 1.25%, the minimum purchase rate at exchange offices, is subtracted from the middle exchange rate and when that sum is then reduced by a 1% fee, one gets the sum of RSD 115.01, the minimum amount for which citizens can sell one euro at exchange offices.

So, today, the price of one euro at exchange offices, including the maximum fee, can range between 115.01 and 120.31 dinars.


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