Dobrodosli na sajt Medjunarodnog centra za razvoj finansijskog trzistaDobrodosli na sajt Medjunarodnog centra za razvoj finansijskog trzista
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Prosečna izvozna cena ruskog gasa 730 dolara, više nego udvostručena
Ministarstvo ekonomije procenjuje da će Gaspromov izvoz gasa pasti na 170,4 milijarde kubnih metara (bcm) ove godine, što je ispod očekivanog izvoza od 185 milijardi kubika, koliko se predviđalo u maju, i znatno ispod 205,6 milijardi kubnih metara izvezenih 2021.
Rusija predviđa da će se prosečna izvozna cena njenog gasa, usled smanjenih isporuka gasovodima, ove godine više nego udvostručiti na 730 dolara za 1.000 kubnih metara, pre nego što krene postepeno da opada do kraja 2025, prema prognozi Ministarstva ekonomije u koju je uvid imao Rojters.

Tokovi gasa iz Rusije, najvećeg evropskog snabdevača, smanjeni su ove godine usled zatvaranja jedne rute posle početka ruske vojne akcije u Ukrajinu, prekida isporuka nekim evropskim zemljama zbog odbijanja da plate gas u rubljama, kao i zbog spora vezanog za remontovanu turbinu za gasovod Severni tok 1, koji se proteže po dnu Baltičkog mora od Rusije do Nemačke. Sve to uticalo je na skok cena gasa.


PKS: Privrednici očekuju rast prometa u narednom kvartalu
Prema podacima PKS-a, tri četvrtine anketiranih privrednika očekuje da će poslovna klima biti ista ili bolja tokom trećeg kvartala ove godine.
Privredna komora Srbije (PKS) objavila je danas rezultate ankete sprovedene među privredicima tokom jula, koji pokazuju da većina njih očekuje rast prometa u narednom kvartalu.

Navodi se da privrednici smatraju kako su ključni faktori unapređenja poslovanja narednog tromesečja raspoloživost resursa, njihova cena i tražnja na domaćem tržištu.


Dinar-to-euro exchange rate at RSD 117.3460
The Serbian dinars official median exchange rate against the euro is 117.3460 dinars for one euro on Wednesday, which is a slight change from Tuesday, the National Bank of Serbia said.
BELGRADE - The Serbian dinars official median exchange rate against the euro is 117.3460 dinars for one euro on Wednesday, which is a slight change from Tuesday, the National Bank of Serbia said.

The dinar is steady against the euro m-o-m and up by 0.2 pct y-o-y and relative to the beginning of the year.

The dinars indicative exchange rate against the dollar was up by 0.2 pct to 115.2938 dinars for one dollar on Tuesday.

The dinar was up against the dollar by 1.5 pct m-o-m and down by 13.4 pct y-o-y, declining by 9.9 pct relative to the beginning of the year.


NBS: Inflation in Serbia in July 12.8%, Peak of 14% Expected in September
The National Bank of Serbia (NBS) announced today that the y-o-y inflation in Serbia in July amounted to 12.8% and that, according to the projections, it would reach its peak of 14% in September, whereas, on an annual level, an average inflation of 11 to 11.5% is expected. As said at the presentation of the Inflation Report, the NBS expect the inflation to start dropping from October and to enter the target band in the first half of 2024.

It was pointed out that it was not realistic for the inflation to be lower than estimated and that it should remain increased all the way up to mid-2023, under such geopolitical conditions and with such a bad agricultural season.

– Under the impact of elevated cost-push pressures mainly from the international environment, inflation in Serbia continued to move along an upward trajectory and touched 12.8% y-o-y in July, of which around 70% comes from food and energy prices – said the governor of the NBS, Jorgovanka Tabakovic.

Tabakovic said that the NBS, in May, when they had data on April inflation, assumed that inflation would continue up over the following several months, but that the intensification of geopolitical tensions and worse than expected agrometeorological conditions led to a higher than envisaged rise in food and energy prices over the previous months.

She reminded that, in the period since the previous Report, inflation in most countries had continued to rise above expectations, reflecting primarily the surge in energy and food prices, which intensified further with the outbreak of the Ukraine conflict.

The NBS says that, when it comes to local factors, projection risks mostly pertained to the outcome of this year’s agricultural season, and also the trends in the energy sector, regarding the scope of the production of coal and electrical energy in the local market and at which prices a part of the gas will be imported above the level agreed with Russia, but also the potential measures taken by the Government of Serbia in order to ensure energy security in the local market.


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